Real-time outbreak analysis: Ebola as a case study - part 3

#simulation #response #ebola #epicurve #reproduction number

Introduction This practical is the third (and last) part of a practical which simulates the early assessment and reconstruction of an Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak. Please make sure you have gone through part 1 and part 2 before starting part 3. In part 3 of the practical, we give an introduction to transmission chain reconstruction using outbreaker2. Note: This practical is derived from earlier practicals called Ebola simulation part 1: early outbreak assessment and Ebola simulation part 2: outbreak reconstruction ...

Real-time outbreak analysis: Ebola as a case study - part 2

#simulation #response #ebola #epicurve #reproduction number

Introduction This practical is the second (out of three) part of a practical which simulates the early assessment and reconstruction of an Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak. Please make sure you have gone through part 1 before starting part 2. In part 2 of the practical, we introduce various aspects of analysis of the early stage of an outbreak, including growth rate estimation, contact tracing data, delays, and estimates of transmissibility. ...

Real-time outbreak analysis: Ebola as a case study - part 1

#simulation #response #ebola #epicurve #reproduction number

Introduction This practical (in three parts) simulates the early assessment and reconstruction of an Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak. It introduces various aspects of analysis of the early stage of an outbreak, including case fatality ratio (CFR), epicurves (part 1), growth rate estimation, contact tracing data, delays, and estimates of transmissibility (part 2), as well as transmission chain reconstruction using outbreaker2 (part 3). Note: This practical is derived from earlier practicals called Ebola simulation part 1: early outbreak assessment and Ebola simulation part 2: outbreak reconstruction ...

Ebola simulation part 1: early outbreak assessment

#simulation #response #ebola #epicurve #reproduction number

This practical simulates the early assessment and reconstruction of an Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak. It introduces various aspects of analysis of the early stage of an outbreak, including contact tracing data, epicurves, growth rate estimation from log-linear models, and more refined estimates of transmissibility. A follow-up practical will provide an introduction to transmission chain reconstruction using outbreaker2. A novel EVD outbreak in Ankh, Republic of Morporkia A new EVD outbreak has been notified in the small city of Ankh, located in the Northern, rural district of the Republic of Morporkia. ...

Ebola simulation part 2: outbreak reconstruction

#genetics #simulation #response #outbreaker2 #epicurve #reproduction number #ebola

This practical is the second part of the response to a simulated Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak taking place in the city of Ankh, Republic of Morporkia. While the first part focussed on early assessments of transmissibility, this part explores more methodological options for estimating transmissibility, and provides an introduction to outbreak reconstruction using outbreaker2. An update on the EVD outbreak in Ankh, Republic of Morporkia After some rather concerning preliminary results on the new EVD outbreak in the city of Ankh, Republic of Morporkia, Public Health Morporkia (PHM) has sent you updates of the linelists and contact data. ...